Smart Money SignalScore: 6.0

Linked new wallet buying YES

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between Russia and Ukraine by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward. Only ceasefires that constitute a general pause in the conflict will qualify. Ceasefires that only apply to energy infrastructure, the Black Sea, or other similar agreements will not qualify. Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market. This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both Russia and Ukraine; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between Russia and Ukraine has been reached will suffice.

A repeat new-wallet bettor from a linked-wallet cluster is taking the Yes side on a major geopolitical market, though the track record is still thin and the position is modest versus market liquidity.

Total

$1,813

Trades

1

Win Rate

100%

Wallet P&L

+$601

Analysis

Copy Trade

Buy Yes at 32¢

WorldUkraineGeopoliticsPoliticsForeign PolicyTrump-ZelenskyyEarn 4%Ukraine Peace Deal
View all alerts for Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?

Detected May 1, 2026 at 5:27 PM

Linked new wallet buying YES | PolySpotter