18-wallet funded NO cluster

This market will resolve to “Yes” if IMF Portwatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Strait of Hormuz equal to or above 60 for any date between market creation and June 30, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Daily transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered. This market will resolve as soon as IMF Portwatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls equal to or above the specified level, or once data has been published for the final date in the specified period and no such value has been published. If no data has been published for the final date of the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) after the end of that period, this market will resolve based on data published up to that point. Revisions to previously published data points made within this market’s timeframe will be considered. However, they will not disqualify a previously published data point from qualifying. Revisions to previously published data points after data is published for June 30, 2026, however, will not be considered. The resolution source for this market will be IMF Portwatch, specifically the transit calls data published for the Strait of Hormuz at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/cb5856222a5b4105adc6ee7e880a1730, both in the chart and through downloadable files.
High-confidence linked-wallet flow: an 18-wallet funded cluster has built $25k of No exposure on a geopolitically sensitive shipping market with recent odds moving their way.
Total
$5,000
Trades
1
Wallet P&L
+$0
Analysis
- 18 linked wallets share the same funder and have put $25k behind the same No thesis.
- This fresh wallet added $5k at 56¢, a meaningful bet even in a liquid market.
- The market has already moved toward No, with Yes down 18 points over the past week.
Copy Trade
Buy No at 56¢
Detected May 1, 2026 at 6:51 PM