Coordinated No flow

This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over Iranian nuclear research and/or nuclear weapon development, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Iran by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect. Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
Three wallets pushed nearly $19.3k into No during a huge pre-event volume spike, including a repeat new-wallet large bettor, despite no resolved track records.
Total
$19,338
Trades
10
Analysis
- Three wallets bet $19.3k the same way, effectively buying No around 43¢.
- Volume spiked 351x above normal as this trade cluster hit the market.
- No has already moved from 43¢ to 46¢, suggesting the flow may be driving momentum.
Copy Trade
Buy No at 43¢
Detected May 11, 2026 at 7:43 PM