New wallet buying Yes

This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over Iranian nuclear research and/or nuclear weapon development, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Iran by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect. Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
A repeat-flagged new wallet sold No amid an 82x volume spike on a geopolitically meaningful market, effectively buying Yes at 57¢ despite no resolved track record.
Total
$1,548
Trades
1
Wallet P&L
+$0
Analysis
- A new wallet is making repeat large bets, with $3,096 flagged so far and 1 existing position.
- The trade lands during an 82x volume spike, suggesting fresh attention to this market.
- Selling No at 43¢ is equivalent to buying Yes at 57¢, after the market fell 12 points over the last day.
Copy Trade
Buy Yes at 57¢
Detected May 11, 2026 at 7:30 PM