New wallet joins No wave

This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over Iranian nuclear research and/or nuclear weapon development, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Iran by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect. Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
A repeat-flagged new wallet is buying No alongside a 5-wallet one-sided wave and a major volume spike on a geopolitically sensitive market.
Total
$5,674
Trades
3
Wallet P&L
+$0
Analysis
- A new wallet split $5.7k into three No buys at 43¢, adding to a repeat large-bet pattern.
- Five wallets are all buying No in the same window, totaling $29.4k of one-sided flow.
- Market volume spiked 159x versus its historical average, suggesting a sudden rush into this thesis.
Copy Trade
Buy No at 43¢
Detected May 11, 2026 at 7:26 PM