Whale drives thin-market breakout

This market will resolve according to the 7-day moving average of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Strait of Hormuz that IMF Portwatch reports for May 31, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered. This market will resolve as soon as data for the specified date has been published. If no data for the specified date has been published by June 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on data for the most recent date prior to May 31, 2026, for which data is available. This market will resolve based on the first publication of data for May 31, 2026. Any subsequent revisions will not be considered. The resolution source for this market will be IMF Portwatch, specifically the transit calls data published for the Strait of Hormuz at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/cb5856222a5b4105adc6ee7e880a1730, both in the chart and through downloadable files.
A very large Yes buy on a thin Strait of Hormuz transit market dwarfed recent volume and helped extend a major upside breakout, though the wallet's long-term record is not strong.
Total
$25,735
Trades
1
Win Rate
47%
Wallet P&L
-$26,146
Analysis
- A single $25.7K buy was more than 8x the market’s entire 24h volume.
- The trade pushed Yes through a major breakout after the price had already risen about 50 points this week.
- This looks like fresh conviction after the wallet closed a prior No position and flipped to Yes.
Copy Trade
Buy Yes at 71¢
Detected May 14, 2026 at 5:26 AM