5-wallet cluster buying Yes

This market will resolve to “Yes” if IMF Portwatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Strait of Hormuz equal to or above 60 for any date between market creation and June 30, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Daily transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered. This market will resolve as soon as IMF Portwatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls equal to or above the specified level, or once data has been published for the final date in the specified period and no such value has been published. If no data has been published for the final date of the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) after the end of that period, this market will resolve based on data published up to that point. Revisions to previously published data points made within this market’s timeframe will be considered. However, they will not disqualify a previously published data point from qualifying. Revisions to previously published data points after data is published for June 30, 2026, however, will not be considered. The resolution source for this market will be IMF Portwatch, specifically the transit calls data published for the Strait of Hormuz at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/cb5856222a5b4105adc6ee7e880a1730, both in the chart and through downloadable files.
High composite score from a linked 5-wallet cluster plus a 146x volume spike on a geopolitically sensitive market, converting the SELL No into a BUY Yes position.
Total
$3,328
Trades
1
Win Rate
33%
Wallet P&L
-$178
Analysis
- A linked 5-wallet group is positioned on the same side, suggesting coordinated conviction.
- Market volume spiked 146x versus its historical average, a strong sign of fresh attention before a data-driven resolution.
- The trade is effectively a Yes buy at 42¢, while current Yes odds are around 37¢.
Copy Trade
Buy Yes at 42¢
Detected May 14, 2026 at 11:18 AM