86% winner backing favorite

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Panama Canal comes under US control by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, US control means the United States assumes primary operational authority over the canal, either via diplomatic agreement, military action, or any other means. An official announcement made by the United States and Panama that the Panama Canal will come under US control will qualify, even if the actual transfer of control is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. executive order, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere posts on Social Media will not. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US Government and the Government of Panama, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that the Panama Canal has come under US sovereignty will also qualify.
A high-volume bettor with an 86% resolved win rate and $24k lifetime profit is backing No despite only a weak low-activity signal.
Total
$1,800
Trades
1
Win Rate
86%
Wallet P&L
+$22,367
Analysis
- This bettor has won 86% of 547 resolved bets and is up $24,387 lifetime.
- They are buying No at 90¢, backing the market favorite on a long-dated geopolitical outcome.
- The $1,800 trade is meaningful relative to the market’s $5,068 in 24h volume.
Copy Trade
Buy No at 90¢
Detected May 16, 2026 at 1:34 PM