Smart Money SignalScore: 5.5

New repeat whale on No

US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over Iranian nuclear research and/or nuclear weapon development, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Iran by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect. Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.

A 2-day-old repeat large bettor put $4.9k on No in a geopolitics market after 16 flagged bets totaling $29k, though there is no resolved track record yet.

Total

$4,916

Trades

2

Win Rate

67%

Wallet P&L

+$21,577

Analysis

Copy Trade

Buy No at 82¢

Iran CeasefireMiddle EastU.S. x IranIranGeopolitics
View all alerts for US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?

Detected May 23, 2026 at 6:22 PM

New repeat whale on No | PolySpotter