6-wallet cluster buying NO

This market will resolve to “Yes” if IMF Portwatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Strait of Hormuz equal to or above 60 for any date between market creation and June 30, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Daily transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered. This market will resolve as soon as IMF Portwatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls equal to or above the specified level, or once data has been published for the final date in the specified period and no such value has been published. If no data has been published for the final date of the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) after the end of that period, this market will resolve based on data published up to that point. Revisions to previously published data points made within this market’s timeframe will be considered. However, they will not disqualify a previously published data point from qualifying. Revisions to previously published data points after data is published for June 30, 2026, however, will not be considered. The resolution source for this market will be IMF Portwatch, specifically the transit calls data published for the Strait of Hormuz at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/cb5856222a5b4105adc6ee7e880a1730, both in the chart and through downloadable files.
A known 6-wallet funded cluster is taking a $1.5k NO position on a high-volume geopolitical market, though this specific wallet has no resolved track record yet.
Total
$1,500
Trades
1
Win Rate
100%
Wallet P&L
+$4,278
Analysis
- Six wallets tied to the same funder have appeared in prior alerts, suggesting one coordinated actor is building positions.
- This wallet bought $1.5k of No at 52¢ despite the market moving toward Yes recently.
- The market is highly active, with $390k traded in 24 hours and a 15-point move over the last day.
Copy Trade
Buy No at 52¢
Detected May 23, 2026 at 7:55 PM