Profitable new wallet fading rally

This market will resolve to “Yes” if IMF Portwatch publishes a daily number of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Strait of Hormuz equal to or above the listed value for any date between market creation and May 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The number of daily transit calls/arrivals includes container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered. This market will resolve as soon as IMF Portwatch publishes a daily number of transit calls equal to or above the specified level, or once data has been published for the final date in the specified period and no such value has been published. If no data has been published for the final date of the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) after the end of that period, this market will resolve based on data published up to that point. Revisions to previously published data points, made within this market’s timeframe, will be considered. However, they will not disqualify a previously published data point from qualifying. Revisions to previously published data points after data is published for May 31, 2026, however, will not be considered. The resolution source for this market will be IMF Portwatch, specifically the transit calls data published for the Strait of Hormuz at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/cb5856222a5b4105adc6ee7e880a1730, both in the chart and through downloadable files.
Profitable new repeat bettor is fading a sharp Yes rally by selling Yes at 69¢, equivalent to buying No at 31¢.
Total
$1,443
Trades
1
Win Rate
82%
Wallet P&L
+$83,039
Analysis
- This new wallet is already up $5.4K and has had 38 flagged large-bet alerts totaling $112K.
- The trade fades a big move: Yes is up 27.5 points in the last day, while this bettor is effectively buying No at 31¢.
- Early record is perfect so far, with 5 wins and 0 losses on resolved markets.
Copy Trade
Buy No at 31¢
Detected May 24, 2026 at 4:23 AM