17-wallet funded cluster

This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over Iranian nuclear research and/or nuclear weapon development, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Iran by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect. Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
A known 17-wallet funded cluster made a small bullish Yes bet on a politically meaningful market, equivalent to buying Yes at 16¢.
Total
$1,895
Trades
1
Win Rate
66%
Wallet P&L
+$6,513
Analysis
- A 17-wallet funded cluster is taking the bullish side, suggesting one actor may be coordinating the position.
- The trade sold No at 84¢, equivalent to buying Yes around 16¢ on a low-probability political outcome.
- The wallet is modestly profitable, up $4.3k across 44 resolved bets, though this position is small versus market volume.
Copy Trade
Buy Yes at 16¢
Detected May 25, 2026 at 7:29 AM