Profitable serial geopolitics trader

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel. Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect. An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count. An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal. Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A highly profitable serial cross-market trader is re-entering Yes at 10¢ after previously closing a much larger position, making this a modest but track-record-backed geopolitical bet.
Total
$1,284
Trades
1
Win Rate
64%
Wallet P&L
+$1,016,130
Analysis
- This bettor is up $1.55M lifetime across 919 resolved markets.
- They have traded across 54 related events, suggesting a repeatable cross-market strategy.
- Entry at 10¢ is already better than the current 12¢ market price, implying a high-upside long-shot bet.
Copy Trade
Buy Yes at 10¢
Detected May 25, 2026 at 3:46 PM