Sharp cluster fading rally

This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over Iranian nuclear research and/or nuclear weapon development, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Iran by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect. Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
A 7-wallet cluster is fading the sharp Yes rally by effectively buying No, led by an 82% winner up $657k and a serial cross-market trader.
Total
$23,733
Trades
8
Analysis
- A bettor who wins 82% of resolved trades and is up $657k bought No into the move.
- 7 wallets put $23.7k on the same No side while Yes is up 55.5 points this week.
- This looks like a coordinated fade of the rally, with effective No entries around 26¢ versus the current 21¢.
Copy Trade
Buy No at 26¢
Detected June 15, 2026 at 12:04 AM