Profitable serial geopolitics trader

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel. Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect. An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count. An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal. Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Profitable high-volume cross-market trader is buying No on a geopolitical market, though the position size is modest and the signal is mostly wallet-quality driven.
Total
$1,316
Trades
1
Win Rate
64%
Wallet P&L
+$218,689
Analysis
- This bettor is up $205K across 1,506 resolved bets, with a long history of trading event-linked markets.
- They have traded 367 markets across 162 events, so this looks like a seasoned cross-market thesis rather than a one-off bet.
- Buying No at 88¢ means they are backing the view that Iran will not publicly agree to end all uranium enrichment by May 31.
Copy Trade
Buy No at 88¢
Detected May 29, 2026 at 4:23 PM