Profitable serial event trader

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel. Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect. An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count. An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal. Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Profitable serial cross-market trader with a large sample is buying No on a geopolitical market, though the individual bet size is modest.
Total
$1,100
Trades
1
Win Rate
61%
Wallet P&L
+$262,019
Analysis
- This bettor has won 61% of 648 resolved trades and is up about $219K lifetime.
- They have traded 250 markets across 155 events, suggesting a repeatable cross-market strategy.
- Bought No at 82¢, and the market has already moved to about 85¢.
Copy Trade
Buy No at 82¢
Detected May 29, 2026 at 6:27 PM