71% serial cross-market bettor

This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over Iranian nuclear research and/or nuclear weapon development, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Iran by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect. Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
A profitable serial cross-market trader with a 71% record is buying No as volume spikes sharply on a politically meaningful market.
Total
$5,000
Trades
1
Win Rate
71%
Wallet P&L
+$31,546
Analysis
- This bettor has won 71% of 236 resolved bets and is up $32k lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader, active across 26 events with $279k in tracked bets.
- Market activity is heating up with an 81x volume spike, and they are backing No at 64¢.
Copy Trade
Buy No at 64¢
Detected June 1, 2026 at 5:48 AM