Serial trader No cluster

This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over Iranian nuclear research and/or nuclear weapon development, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Iran by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect. Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
Surfacing because three wallets are fading the Yes rally toward No, led by a high-volume serial trader with a 75% record across hundreds of resolved bets.
Total
$6,437
Trades
3
Analysis
- A seasoned bettor in this flow has won 75% of 397 resolved bets and is up $235k lifetime.
- Three wallets put $6.4k toward No within minutes, including a fresh $4k No buy at 58¢.
- This is a contrarian fade after Yes jumped 27 points in the last day.
Copy Trade
Buy No at 57¢
Detected June 12, 2026 at 3:30 PM