Profitable serial macro trader

This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over Iranian nuclear research and/or nuclear weapon development, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Iran by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect. Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
Sharp, profitable cross-market trader with an 82% record is effectively buying No on the US-Iran nuclear deal market.
Total
$3,900
Trades
1
Win Rate
82%
Wallet P&L
+$842,850
Analysis
- This bettor wins 82% of resolved trades and is up about $563K lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader, active across 53 events and $2.46M in detected volume.
- Selling Yes at 30¢ is effectively a bet on No at 70¢.
Copy Trade
Buy No at 70¢
Detected June 4, 2026 at 6:56 PM