6-wallet cluster buying No

Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election. If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
A 6-wallet funded cluster is building the same No position on a long-dated Russian election market, with this wallet re-entering after prior No exposure.
Total
$3,735
Trades
1
Win Rate
40%
Wallet P&L
+$38,107
Analysis
- Six wallets funded by the same source are all backing the same side, totaling about $14k.
- This wallet bought $3.7k of No at 46¢, implying a near-even but potentially mispriced political outcome.
- The market is liquid, but coordinated repeat positioning makes the flow worth tracking.
Copy Trade
Buy No at 46¢
Detected June 5, 2026 at 1:11 PM