Sharp wallets fading spike

Project Freedom was a U.S.-led military initiative to escort commercial ships through the Strait of Hormuz. This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump, the United States government, or the United States military announces that Project Freedom will be restarted by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement explicitly stating that “Project Freedom” will be restarted will qualify. Additionally, any announcement of a substantially equivalent United States military program to escort, protect, or retrieve commercial ships in or through the Strait of Hormuz will qualify. Only definitive announcements will qualify. Suggestions, expressions of openness, reported preparations, or other non-definitive statements will not qualify. Any qualifying announcement within this market’s time frame will count, regardless of whether or when the announced program goes into effect. The primary resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump, the United States government, and the United States military; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Three wallets, including a 75% winner up $234k and serial cross-market traders, are fading a massive Yes move by selling Yes, equivalent to buying No around 16¢.
Total
$6,032
Trades
4
Analysis
- A bettor who wins 75% of resolved trades and is up $234k is selling Yes here.
- Three wallets sold $6.0k of Yes after the market jumped about 70 points in one day.
- This flow is equivalent to buying No around 16¢, a contrarian bet against the recent surge.
Copy Trade
Buy No at 16¢
Detected June 10, 2026 at 6:29 PM