Part of: Will Trump restart Project Freedom by...?
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30?
This prediction market asks whether Donald Trump, the U.S. government, or the U.S. military will announce a restart of Project Freedom, a U.S.-led escort mission for commercial ships through the Strait of Hormuz. It resolves based on an explicit Project Freedom restart announcement or a substantially equivalent initiative by the June 30, 2026 deadline; PolySpotter currently tracks $3,350 in smart money activity and 1 smart money signal on this market.
1 smart money signal detected, totaling $3,350.
Categories: Strait of Hormuz, Politics, Geopolitics, Trump, Iran, U.S. x Iran
Notable Trades
Profitable cross-market regular
Profitable serial cross-market trader with a large resolved history is buying No on a geopolitical market, though the signal is moderate rather than exceptional.
- This bettor is up $343K across 859 resolved markets, with a 62% win rate.
- They repeatedly trade related markets, with $601K placed across 67 markets in 31 events.
- Buying No at 67¢ suggests they see the restart announcement as less likely than current odds imply.
$3,350 on No | Wallet win rate: 62%
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