89% winner buying Yes
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States signs any written agreement with the Islamic Republic of Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A qualifying agreement must be signed by both an authorized representative of the United States and an authorized representative of the Islamic Republic of Iran. Both parties must either sign the same document, or sign individual documents which substantively and directly indicate acceptance of the same underlying agreement, regardless of minor or translated differences between the signed versions. Both physical signatures and officially issued electronic signatures will qualify as signing. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Surfaced because a highly profitable 89% lifetime bettor is buying Yes amid a huge volume spike and repeated cross-market positioning.
Total
$4,818
Trades
1
Win Rate
92%
Wallet P&L
+$371,415
Analysis
- This bettor wins 89% of resolved trades and is up $327K lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader across 29 events with $179K tracked in similar positioning.
- Market volume spiked 514x, and Yes is up 21.5 points today, supporting the same direction.
Copy Trade
Buy Yes at 87¢
Detected June 15, 2026 at 1:54 PM