Part of: US and Iran sign an agreement by...?

US and Iran sign an agreement by June 22, 2026?

2 smart money signals detected, totaling $5,908.

Categories: Iran, Treaty, U.S. x Iran, Trump, Politics, Geopolitics, Peace Deal

Notable Trades

89% winner buying Yes

Surfaced because a highly profitable 89% lifetime bettor is buying Yes amid a huge volume spike and repeated cross-market positioning.

  • This bettor wins 89% of resolved trades and is up $327K lifetime.
  • They are a serial cross-market trader across 29 events with $179K tracked in similar positioning.
  • Market volume spiked 514x, and Yes is up 21.5 points today, supporting the same direction.

$4,818 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 92%

Elite 96% winner buying Yes

Elite 96% lifetime winner with $266.9k profit is buying Yes on a high-volume Iran agreement market after a 12.5-point daily move.

  • This bettor wins 96% of resolved trades and is up $266.9k lifetime.
  • They have a long cross-market track record: 55 events and $109k in similar multi-market positioning.
  • Buying at 84¢ after a 12.5-point daily move suggests they still see room above the current price.

$1,090 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 95%

Top Holders

  1. 0x5739...5f1a Outcome 90769474, $54,717 (55% win rate)
  2. 0xfba1...1733 Outcome 90769474, $42,000
  3. 0xb8b4...1f6e Outcome 90769474, $26,975 (67% win rate)
  4. 0xb907...539a Outcome 90769474, $17,118
  5. 0xac4a...bf1e Outcome 90769474, $10,201
  6. 0xfa38...5493 Outcome 90769474, $10,000
  7. 0x6cab...abe1 Outcome 90769474, $9,878 (100% win rate)
  8. 0xfc2f...10c7 Outcome 90769474, $6,534 (75% win rate)
  9. 0x5464...af99 Outcome 90769474, $5,500 (45% win rate)
  10. 0x15f7...a018 Outcome 90769474, $5,000 (61% win rate)

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US and Iran sign an agreement by June 22, 2026?

ResolvedUS and Iran sign an agreement by...?$5,908 tracked2 signalsIranTreatyU.S. x IranTrumpPoliticsGeopoliticsPeace Deal

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States signs any written agreement with the Islamic Republic of Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A qualifying agreement must be signed by both an authorized representative of the United States and an authorized representative of the Islamic Republic of Iran. Both parties must either sign the same document, or sign individual documents which substantively and directly indicate acceptance of the same underlying agreement, regardless of minor or translated differences between the signed versions. Both physical signatures and officially issued electronic signatures will qualify as signing. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Notable Trades

US and Iran sign an agreement by June 22, 2026?

54d ago

$4,818 on Yes at 87¢

US and Iran sign an agreement by June 22, 2026?

55d ago

$1,090 on Yes at 84¢

Related Theses