Part of: US and Iran sign an agreement by...?
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 22, 2026?
This prediction market asks whether the United States and the Islamic Republic of Iran will sign any qualifying written agreement by 11:59 PM ET on June 22, 2026. A Yes outcome requires authorized representatives from both countries to sign the same document or substantively matching documents accepting the same agreement. PolySpotter currently tracks $1,090 in smart money activity on this market, including a recent Yes buy from an elite 96% winner.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States signs any written agreement with the Islamic Republic of Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A qualifying agreement must be signed by both an authorized representative of the United States and an authorized representative of the Islamic Republic of Iran. Both parties must either sign the same document, or sign individual documents which substantively and directly indicate acceptance of the same underlying agreement, regardless of minor or translated differences between the signed versions. Both physical signatures and officially issued electronic signatures will qualify as signing. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
1 smart money signal detected, totaling $1,090.
Categories: Iran, Treaty, U.S. x Iran, Trump, Politics, Geopolitics, Peace Deal
Notable Trades
Elite 96% winner buying Yes
Elite 96% lifetime winner with $266.9k profit is buying Yes on a high-volume Iran agreement market after a 12.5-point daily move.
- This bettor wins 96% of resolved trades and is up $266.9k lifetime.
- They have a long cross-market track record: 55 events and $109k in similar multi-market positioning.
- Buying at 84¢ after a 12.5-point daily move suggests they still see room above the current price.
$1,090 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 96%
Top Holders
- 0x079f...28df — No, $5,045
- 0x2525...b919 — Yes, $4,604 (55% win rate)
- 0xe738...df65 — Yes, $3,679 (64% win rate)
- 0x60a9...5a71 — Yes, $3,380 (49% win rate)
- 0x5739...5f1a — No, $3,373 (53% win rate)
- 0x8a98...1b92 — No, $2,870 (53% win rate)
- 0x378a...a638 — No, $2,267 (42% win rate)
- 0xaf23...aa95 — Yes, $2,159 (63% win rate)
- 0xe8c4...395d — Yes, $1,787 (96% win rate)
- 0xb8b4...1f6e — No, $1,668 (68% win rate)
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