Proven cross-market sharp
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States signs any written agreement with the Islamic Republic of Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A qualifying agreement must be signed by both an authorized representative of the United States and an authorized representative of the Islamic Republic of Iran. Both parties must either sign the same document, or sign individual documents which substantively and directly indicate acceptance of the same underlying agreement, regardless of minor or translated differences between the signed versions. Both physical signatures and officially issued electronic signatures will qualify as signing. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sharp serial cross-market trader with a 75% long-run win rate bought Yes during a major volume and price surge.
Total
$2,011
Trades
1
Win Rate
70%
Wallet P&L
-$104,083
Analysis
- This bettor wins 75% of resolved trades across 1,093 markets and is up $179,818 lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader with $1.77M deployed across 178 events.
- The market is seeing a 58.5x volume spike and Yes is up 17.5 points in 24 hours.
Copy Trade
Buy Yes at 88¢
Detected June 15, 2026 at 1:46 PM