Geopolitical momentum breakout
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States signs any written agreement with the Islamic Republic of Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A qualifying agreement must be signed by both an authorized representative of the United States and an authorized representative of the Islamic Republic of Iran. Both parties must either sign the same document, or sign individual documents which substantively and directly indicate acceptance of the same underlying agreement, regardless of minor or translated differences between the signed versions. Both physical signatures and officially issued electronic signatures will qualify as signing. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Surface as a momentum alert: a geopolitical market is seeing a 67x volume spike and a major Yes price breakout, though the specific wallet is not a proven sharp bettor.
Total
$4,604
Trades
1
Win Rate
44%
Wallet P&L
+$585,887
Analysis
- Yes has surged sharply, with volume running 67x above its normal pace.
- The market has traded $331k in the last 24 hours versus $392k total, showing a fresh wave of positioning.
- This buyer entered at 88¢ after a major breakout, implying conviction that the agreement is now highly likely.
Copy Trade
Buy Yes at 88¢
Detected June 15, 2026 at 1:46 PM