Profitable wallets fading spike
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States signs any written agreement with the Islamic Republic of Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A qualifying agreement must be signed by both an authorized representative of the United States and an authorized representative of the Islamic Republic of Iran. Both parties must either sign the same document, or sign individual documents which substantively and directly indicate acceptance of the same underlying agreement, regardless of minor or translated differences between the signed versions. Both physical signatures and officially issued electronic signatures will qualify as signing. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Three profitable wallets collectively sold Yes near a same-day political deadline after a huge rally, effectively buying No and causing a sharp pullback.
Total
$5,851
Trades
3
Analysis
- The lead bettor has won 72% of 390 resolved trades and is up $393k lifetime.
- Three wallets all faded the same side, effectively buying No with $5.9k total exposure.
- The Yes price dropped about 18 points after these sells, reversing part of a 46-point daily rally.
Copy Trade
Buy No at 25¢
Detected June 15, 2026 at 2:31 PM