Profitable cross-market trader
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States signs any written agreement with the Islamic Republic of Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A qualifying agreement must be signed by both an authorized representative of the United States and an authorized representative of the Islamic Republic of Iran. Both parties must either sign the same document, or sign individual documents which substantively and directly indicate acceptance of the same underlying agreement, regardless of minor or translated differences between the signed versions. Both physical signatures and officially issued electronic signatures will qualify as signing. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Profitable serial cross-market trader bought Yes into a major volume spike and strong upward price move on a geopolitics market.
Total
$4,400
Trades
1
Win Rate
63%
Wallet P&L
+$127,092
Analysis
- This bettor has traded 287 resolved markets with a 63% win rate and is up $127K lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader, active across 29 events with $175K in similar event bets tracked.
- Market activity surged 269x above its recent average, while Yes has jumped 21 points in the past day.
Copy Trade
Buy Yes at 88¢
Detected June 15, 2026 at 2:04 PM