82% serial cross-market sharp

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends the next diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify. Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not qualify as diplomatic meetings. The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count. Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating in negotiations at the meeting. If the next diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Sharp wallet with an 82% resolved win rate and large lifetime profit is effectively buying Yes while also showing a strong serial cross-market pattern.
Total
$1,496
Trades
1
Win Rate
75%
Wallet P&L
+$691,333
Analysis
- This bettor wins 82% of resolved trades and is up about $788K lifetime.
- They are a heavy cross-market trader, with $3.46M deployed across 179 related markets.
- Selling No at 49¢ is equivalent to buying Yes at 51¢, before Yes moved to about 54¢.
Copy Trade
Buy Yes at 51¢
Detected June 18, 2026 at 1:08 AM