82% winner buying Yes
On June 14, 2026, the US and Iran announced a written diplomatic agreement between the two countries, with an announced signing ceremony on June 19. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual attends a signing ceremony between the United States and Iran by July 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A signing ceremony refers to any official event convened by or on behalf of the United States and Iran for the purpose of physically signing, executing, or formalizing a written agreement between the two countries, at which authorized representatives of both the United States and Iran are physically present at the same location. Attendance at the signing ceremony refers to the listed individual being physically present at any point during the event. If a qualifying signing ceremony occurs and the listed individual does not attend the event, this market will resolve immediately to “No”. If no qualifying signing ceremony occurs by July 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sharp wallet override: a highly profitable 82% win-rate bettor bought Yes despite only a modest cross-market signal.
Total
$1,388
Trades
1
Win Rate
76%
Wallet P&L
+$917,618
Analysis
- This bettor wins 82% of resolved trades and is up about $780k lifetime.
- They have put $2.6k across two related ceremony markets, suggesting a broader view on attendance.
- Entry at 35¢ implies a roughly 2.9x payout if JD Vance attends.
Copy Trade
Buy Yes at 35¢
Detected June 18, 2026 at 1:08 AM