Elite serial macro bettor

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel. Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect. An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count. An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal. Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Surface because this is a highly proven serial cross-market trader with an 89% resolved win rate and $327k lifetime profit buying No on a major geopolitics market.
Total
$2,788
Trades
1
Win Rate
88%
Wallet P&L
+$331,421
Analysis
- This bettor has won 89% of 551 resolved trades and is up $327k lifetime.
- They have a long cross-market track record: 29 events, 33 markets, and $174k in similar positioning.
- They bought No at 60¢, and the market has already moved to 63¢ in their direction.
Copy Trade
Buy No at 60¢
Detected June 19, 2026 at 1:51 AM