Profitable serial cross-market bettor

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel. Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect. An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count. An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal. Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A highly profitable serial cross-market trader bought No, adding to a sharp short-term move in a geopolitics market.
Total
$4,652
Trades
1
Win Rate
71%
Wallet P&L
+$1,152,655
Analysis
- This bettor has won 70% of 1,134 resolved bets and is up about $1.05M lifetime.
- They have traded across 43 related markets in 28 events, suggesting a repeatable research edge.
- Their No buy came during a rapid 18.5-point move higher in under 3 minutes.
Copy Trade
Buy No at 86¢
Detected June 19, 2026 at 11:42 PM