86% winner buying NO

Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A highly profitable serial cross-market trader with an 86% win rate is taking a bearish Netanyahu position across related markets.
Total
$1,502
Trades
1
Win Rate
44%
Wallet P&L
+$295,891
Analysis
- This bettor wins 86% of resolved trades and is up $440k lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader, active across 39 events and 79 markets.
- Selling Yes at 33¢ is equivalent to buying No at 67¢, adding to a bearish Netanyahu thesis.
Copy Trade
Buy No at 67¢
Detected June 20, 2026 at 4:24 PM