Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
This prediction market tracks whether Benjamin Netanyahu will be the individual officially appointed and sworn in as Israel's next Prime Minister following the 2026 parliamentary election. If an early election is called, the market resolves to whoever is sworn in after that vote instead. The market is scheduled to resolve by December 31, 2026, and current pricing reflects traders' live odds on Netanyahu returning to office.
Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
1 smart money signal detected, totaling $1,132.
Categories: Politics, Middle East, Israel, Geopolitics, Elections, Global Elections, World, Trump-Netanyahu
Notable Trades
87% win-rate political bettor
A high-volume serial cross-market bettor with an 87% win rate is taking the No side in a major political market at 57¢, making this a followable sharp-trader signal despite the modest size.
- This bettor wins 87% of their trades and is up about $244k across 187 resolved markets
- They have traded 64 markets across 28 events, which points to a repeatable process rather than a one-off bet
- They bought No at 57¢ in a major politics market, implying a fairly high-confidence view against Netanyahu
$1,132 on No | Wallet win rate: 87%
Top Holders
- 0xa5ef...2966 — No, $32,113
- 0xd8bc...67e2 — No, $19,912 (100% win rate)
- 0xe61d...5672 — Yes, $8,500
- 0xb077...8a20 — Yes, $6,271
- 0xc3bf...e70f — No, $5,901
- 0x6f7a...75cb — No, $5,308
- 0x413f...47f3 — No, $5,000
- 0x784f...5df9 — No, $5,000 (87% win rate)
- 0xb6a7...2e3c — Yes, $4,808
- 0x3cb3...a0cc — Yes, $4,753
