Profitable event specialist
On June 14, 2026, the US and Iran announced a written diplomatic agreement between the two countries, with an announced signing ceremony on June 19. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual attends a signing ceremony between the United States and Iran by July 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A signing ceremony refers to any official event convened by or on behalf of the United States and Iran for the purpose of physically signing, executing, or formalizing a written agreement between the two countries, at which authorized representatives of both the United States and Iran are physically present at the same location. Attendance at the signing ceremony refers to the listed individual being physically present at any point during the event. If a qualifying signing ceremony occurs and the listed individual does not attend the event, this market will resolve immediately to “No”. If no qualifying signing ceremony occurs by July 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Profitable serial cross-market trader is buying Yes across this diplomatic-signing event, though the individual trade size is modest.
Total
$1,052
Trades
1
Win Rate
57%
Wallet P&L
+$853,776
Analysis
- This bettor is up $732K lifetime and has traded across 55 similar events.
- They are building a broader event thesis, with $5K spread across 4 related markets.
- Entry at 20¢ implies they see a potential 5x-style payoff if Shehbaz Sharif attends.
Copy Trade
Buy Yes at 20¢
Detected June 20, 2026 at 7:42 PM