Part of: Who will attend US-Iran signing ceremony?
Will Shehbaz Sharif attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?
3 smart money signals detected, totaling $6,432.
Categories: Geopolitics, U.S. x Iran, Peace Deal, Politics, Iran
Notable Trades
79% winner buying NO
Sharp positive-P&L wallet with a 79% resolved win rate is buying No in a diplomatic event market while also positioning across a related market.
- This bettor wins 79% of resolved trades and is up $6.9K lifetime.
- They have positioned across 2 related US-Iran ceremony markets, suggesting a broader thesis.
- Buying No at 81¢ implies strong confidence Shehbaz Sharif will not attend.
$2,173 on No | Wallet win rate: 72%
79% winner buying NO
Sharp profitable wallet with a 79% resolved-bet win rate is adding a $3.2k NO position on a politics market with plausible information edge.
- This bettor wins 79% of resolved trades and is up $6.9k lifetime.
- They put $3.2k on NO across two buys, making this a clear directional bet.
- The same wallet is active across related ceremony markets, suggesting a broader thesis.
$3,207 on No | Wallet win rate: 72%
Profitable event specialist
Profitable serial cross-market trader is buying Yes across this diplomatic-signing event, though the individual trade size is modest.
- This bettor is up $732K lifetime and has traded across 55 similar events.
- They are building a broader event thesis, with $5K spread across 4 related markets.
- Entry at 20¢ implies they see a potential 5x-style payoff if Shehbaz Sharif attends.
$1,052 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 52%
Top Holders
- 0x7447...a16d — Outcome 51908026, $3,770 (52% win rate)
- 0xefde...783d — Outcome 51908026, $778 (51% win rate)
- 0xfc2f...10c7 — Outcome 51908026, $413 (76% win rate)
- 0x323b...df9a — Outcome 51908026, $215
- 0xc7d0...1f8a — Outcome 51908026, $205
- 0xe8c4...395d — Outcome 51908026, $200 (94% win rate)
- 0xc66b...02aa — Outcome 51908026, $172
- 0x7076...586d — Outcome 51908026, $134
- 0x54d1...13f4 — Outcome 51908026, $125 (80% win rate)
- 0x3329...43a6 — Outcome 51908026, $100
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