Sharp cross-market No cluster

Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election. If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Strong No-side cluster led by a highly profitable 83% winner with a long cross-market track record and $311k lifetime profit.
Total
$20,543
Trades
4
Analysis
- Lead bettor wins 83% of resolved trades and is up $311k lifetime.
- Three wallets put $20.5k on the No side, including $17.4k bought directly at 40¢.
- This is part of a broader political-market pattern: one trader has bet across 31 events with an 83% win rate.
Copy Trade
Buy No at 40¢
Detected June 25, 2026 at 12:59 AM