Sharp cross-market No cluster

Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election. If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
High-scoring one-sided No cluster led by a proven 83% winner with $311k profit and a long serial cross-market track record.
Total
$6,620
Trades
3
Analysis
- A bettor in this cluster wins 83% of resolved trades and is up $311k lifetime.
- Three wallets put $6.6k on No within minutes, including a Yes sell that converts to buying No.
- The lead trader has bet across 31 events with an 83% record, suggesting a repeatable cross-market edge.
Copy Trade
Buy No at 41¢
Detected June 25, 2026 at 1:17 AM