Coordinated FlowScore: 9.9
7-wallet No flow
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Iran by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Iran or the United States as of November 4, 2025 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.
Seven wallets put about $50k behind the No side, with the move already pushing Yes down 4 points, though conviction is tempered by mixed flow and no clearly sharp wallet.
Total
$50,030
Trades
10
Analysis
- Seven wallets are all leaning No with about $50k in combined trades.
- The market has already moved their way, with Yes down 4 points today to 28%.
- Several participants are profitable lifetime, including one up about $150k across 673 resolved bets.
Copy Trade
Buy No at 70¢
Detected May 18, 2026 at 7:38 PM