Large No cluster amid opposing flow
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
A $467K, 71-wallet No-positioning surge coincided with a 76.7x volume spike and a sharp repricing toward No, though substantial opposing Yes buying makes the signal less one-sided.
Total
$467,322
Trades
172
Analysis
- 71 wallets built about $467K in No exposure as the market shifted sharply toward No.
- Trading volume spiked 76.7x its historical average, but a separate 77-wallet group also bought Yes, signaling meaningful disagreement.
- No is currently priced at 62¢, below several listed No entries, so the cluster’s timing and average entry are uncertain.
Copy Trade
Buy No at 62¢
Detected October 25, 2026 at 10:49 PM