4-wallet Yes cluster
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Iran by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Iran or the United States as of November 4, 2025 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.
A $60.8k coordinated Yes position, including a $54.7k No sale equivalent to buying Yes around 23¢, is notable despite mixed wallet track records because multiple wallets are moving the same way on a serious geopolitical market.
Total
$60,837
Trades
4
Analysis
- Four wallets put $60.8k behind Yes, with one large trade equivalent to buying Yes at 23¢.
- Three wallets share a funder, suggesting coordinated conviction rather than isolated small bets.
- The market is liquid, but this flow comes after Yes rose 3 points today while still down 11 points on the week.
Copy Trade
Buy Yes at 23¢
Detected May 7, 2026 at 8:40 PM