Sharp cluster buying No
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Iran by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Iran or the United States as of November 4, 2025 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.
A profitable 79% win-rate bettor joined a 6-wallet, $41k one-sided push into No during a major volume spike, making this coordinated contrarian flow worth surfacing.
Total
$12,200
Trades
1
Win Rate
85%
Wallet P&L
+$172,885
Analysis
- This bettor wins 79% of resolved trades and is up about $107k lifetime.
- Six wallets put $41k on the same side as volume ran 34x above normal.
- This trade sold Yes at 61¢, which translates to buying No around 39¢.
Copy Trade
Buy No at 39¢
Detected April 5, 2026 at 4:26 AM