Sharp bettor joins No cluster
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Iran by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Iran or the United States as of November 4, 2025 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.
A highly profitable 86% win-rate trader joined a 6-wallet, $41k one-sided move into No during a major volume spike, making this a strong signal worth surfacing.
Total
$2,797
Trades
1
Win Rate
86%
Wallet P&L
+$4,990,268
Analysis
- This bettor wins 86% of their trades and is up about $3.1M lifetime.
- Six wallets piled into No for about $41k total as market volume ran 33.8x above normal.
- They bought No at 38¢, which means they are fading a market pricing invasion at 64%.
Copy Trade
Buy No at 38¢
Detected April 5, 2026 at 4:26 AM