Smart Money SignalScore: 9.6
94% winner adds to 19-wallet No cluster
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Iran by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Iran or the United States as of November 4, 2025 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.
A highly profitable bettor with a 94% win rate is adding to an existing No position alongside a 19-wallet funded cluster.
Total
$9,880
Trades
1
Win Rate
94%
Wallet P&L
+$205,582
Analysis
- This bettor wins 94% of 243 resolved trades and is up $160,259.
- The wallet is adding $4,940 to an existing No position, bringing its investment to over $18,000.
- Nineteen wallets sharing a funder are aligned on No, indicating concentrated conviction despite the market’s 76% No price.
Copy Trade
Buy No at 76¢
Detected August 1, 2026 at 8:45 AM