93% winner adds to No
This market will resolve to "Yes" if one or more International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) officials physically visit the Isfahan Nuclear Technology Center, Fordow Fuel Enrichment Plant, or Natanz Nuclear Facility in Iran between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Pickaxe Mountain is not considered part of the Natanz Nuclear Facility. IAEA officials refers to individuals acting in an official capacity on behalf of the IAEA, including IAEA inspectors, staff, and the Director General. A qualifying visit must include physical presence within the recognized boundaries of one of the listed sites. Visits to other sites in Iran, or virtual inspections of the sites, will not qualify. The resolution sources for this market will be the IAEA and a consensus of credible reporting.
A highly profitable serial cross-market trader with a 93% win rate is adding to an existing No position in a thin market.
Total
$1,136
Trades
1
Win Rate
92%
Wallet P&L
+$71,140
Analysis
- This bettor has won 77 of 83 resolved trades and is up $35,675.
- The wallet trades across 34 events and is adding $1,136 to its existing No position.
- The No entry is 83¢, near the current 83% market price, so the edge comes primarily from the trader’s track record rather than a clear price discount.
Copy Trade
Buy No at 83¢
Detected August 8, 2026 at 12:20 PM