New wallet scaling into No
This market will resolve to "Yes" if one or more International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) officials physically visit the Isfahan Nuclear Technology Center, Fordow Fuel Enrichment Plant, or Natanz Nuclear Facility in Iran between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Pickaxe Mountain is not considered part of the Natanz Nuclear Facility. IAEA officials refers to individuals acting in an official capacity on behalf of the IAEA, including IAEA inspectors, staff, and the Director General. A qualifying visit must include physical presence within the recognized boundaries of one of the listed sites. Visits to other sites in Iran, or virtual inspections of the sites, will not qualify. The resolution sources for this market will be the IAEA and a consensus of credible reporting.
A repeat new wallet is adding a sizable No position in an exceptionally thin market, though its limited track record does not yet establish a proven edge.
Total
$1,800
Trades
1
Win Rate
100%
Wallet P&L
+$275
Analysis
- A 23-day-old wallet has made three flagged large bets, totaling $4,800, and already holds a sizable No position here.
- The $1,800 purchase was over 100 times the market’s 24-hour volume, making it a strong concentration signal in a thin market.
- Its 2-0 resolved record is too small to prove skill, so the conviction signal matters more than the track record.
Copy Trade
Buy No at 89¢
Detected August 12, 2026 at 12:50 PM