Seven-wallet coordinated Yes position

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Hamas officially announces it will disarm in the Gaza Strip by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only credible announcements, for example by the widely acknowledged leadership of Hamas, will qualify. For the purposes of this market, "disarm" refers to a public commitment to relinquish or dismantle its military, whether partially or completely, in the Gaza Strip. Announcements of partial disarmament (e.g., surrendering a class of weapons or agreeing to disarm in stages or a certain region) will qualify as long as it is part of an acknowledged disarmament process. Only official announcements will qualify. Informal statements, plans contingent on future conditions, statements of intent without a formal policy directive, or any other statements that do not constitute a formal policy announcement will not be considered. Primary resolution sources will include official statements from Hamas leadership; however, a wide consensus of credible reporting confirming a policy of disarmament has been instituted will also qualify.
Seven linked wallets and a serial cross-market trader are positioning for Hamas disarmament despite the market pricing Yes at only 22%.
Total
$3,926
Trades
1
Win Rate
66%
Wallet P&L
+$271,424
Analysis
- Seven wallets sharing a funder are involved, signaling coordinated conviction on this relatively unlikely outcome.
- The trader has participated across 54 events and 90 markets, with $2.0M in tracked volume and a 66% win rate.
- The sell of No at 79¢ is equivalent to buying Yes around 21¢, near the current 22% market price.
Copy Trade
Buy Yes at 21¢
Detected September 1, 2026 at 10:00 AM