Serial sharp bettor buys No

Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by United Russia in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election. If results are not known definitively by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
A highly profitable serial cross-market trader with an 83% win rate made a concentrated $11.1K bet on No in a relatively thin market.
Total
$11,098
Trades
1
Win Rate
82%
Wallet P&L
+$1,512,721
Analysis
- This bettor wins 83% of trades across 266 resolved positions and has earned $1.38M.
- The $11,098 No bet represents 70% of the market’s 24-hour volume, signaling strong conviction.
- The trader has positioned across 84 events and 112 markets, suggesting an established directional process rather than a one-off wager.
Copy Trade
Buy No at 74¢
Detected September 8, 2026 at 11:38 AM