Coordinated FlowScore: 38.8

8-wallet geopolitical cluster

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a continuous 14-day period without any qualifying military action between Iran, and Israel and the United States that begins at any time between market creation and the specified end date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The 14-day period may begin at any time between the creation of this market and the specified end date (ET), and must continue uninterrupted through 12:00 PM ET on the 14th calendar day after the strike is confirmed. A "military action" is defined as any use of force by Iran, or Israel and the United States against the other’s soil, or official embassies or consulates, that is either officially acknowledged by the acting government or confirmed through a clear consensus of credible reporting. This includes, but is not limited to, airstrikes, naval attacks, and ground incursions. Cyberattacks, sanctions, and diplomatic actions do not count. Only actions by Iranian forces explicitly claimed by the Islamic Republic of Iran, or confirmed to have originated from Iranian territory will qualify as Iranian military actions. Attacks on Israel or the US by proxy forces (i.e. Hezbollah, Houthis, etc.) will not count.

Eight wallets piled into Yes with $25k in a liquid geopolitics market, and several of them have strong cross-market track records and profitable histories on this event theme.

Total

$25,483

Trades

8

Analysis

Copy Trade

Buy Yes at 70¢

Middle EastIranWorldTrumpIsraelPoliticsGeopoliticsIran CeasefireIsrael x Iran
View all alerts for Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?

Detected April 19, 2026 at 7:57 PM

8-wallet geopolitical cluster | PolySpotter