Sharp bettor adds to Yes

Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026. This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by SPD in the specified election. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election. Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin) attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution. If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).
A proven profitable bettor with a 77% win rate is adding to an already large Yes position in a thinly traded market.
Total
$1,118
Trades
1
Win Rate
77%
Wallet P&L
+$33,650
Analysis
- This bettor wins 77% of trades across 39 resolved positions and is up $36,822.
- They added $1,118 to an existing $8,087 Yes position at 45¢, signaling continued conviction.
- The trade was more than three times the market's 24-hour volume, despite the market resolving in 2026.
Copy Trade
Buy Yes at 45¢
Detected September 17, 2026 at 7:35 PM